Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

  • Tarixində dərc edildi 2 gün əvvəl

    The Game TheoristsThe Game Theorists

    Müddəti: 23:30

    Special thanks to Skillshare for sponsoring this episode!
    The first 1000 Theorists get a FREE trial of Skillshare Premium ► skl.sh/thegametheorists01211
    There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of AZfun centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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    #Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
    More THEORIES:
    FNAF, The FINAL Timeline ►► bit.ly/2MlHYFe
    FNAF, The Monster We MISSED! ►► azfun.info/first/w6zIsJ2Bg6XGgMw/video
    FNAF This Theory Changes Everything ► bit.ly/2JUQUn6
    FNAF, You Were Meant To Lose ► azfun.info/first/m5XPms2GcM2VmJU/video
    FNAF 6, No More Secrets ► bit.ly/2LVCq4u
    Credits:
    Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
    Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
    Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
    Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

Bdogzippy
Bdogzippy

lol it was put on the YouTube trending tab

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big spirit nae
big spirit nae

Matpat woke up and chose deceit and trickery

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Ashan Trisheild
Ashan Trisheild

Forever greatful for your knowledge oh Almighty one 🙌

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Joshua Hatfield
Joshua Hatfield

OHHHHHHHH!!!! GET DUNKED ON TRENDING TAB!!!!!

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ITZ Bryan
ITZ Bryan

Cringe

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Johan Meyer
Johan Meyer

1 in 300,000,000 chance I like those odds

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NUT SPONGE
NUT SPONGE

Number 2 on trending

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Wiell Nyan
Wiell Nyan

9:55 he knows.

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Dream
Dream

...

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Nikama Mini Kitchen
Nikama Mini Kitchen

https://youtu.be/_0X138yfnPI

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MJ907
MJ907

Short Answer: He doesn't answer the question.

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Yoda Lover06
Yoda Lover06

9:54 whos here when its 1st on trending?

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Link From Zelda
Link From Zelda

9:55 That aged well.

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Mateo Guerrero
Mateo Guerrero

11:39 jake peralta?

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Emanuel Xiquin
Emanuel Xiquin

What if Matt was the secret scientist dream hired

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Gamerzero2000
Gamerzero2000

Why does nobody talk about mrbeast buying everything in the background 👀 0:11

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Priam Zhunepluas
Priam Zhunepluas

60+

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Prottoy Roy
Prottoy Roy

https://youtu.be/iEfoO_HJlGg

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Dieter Umholtz
Dieter Umholtz

In the video he joked about the people on the trending list.... and look where he is now!😂

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topgaminplays
topgaminplays

Lemme just say that 50/50 percent of the coin rate is wrong

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cadencore
cadencore

"Watch, this video's going to get on the trending tab.." *#1 On Trending*

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Fish Sticker
Fish Sticker

Don’t even watch this video, there is no answer, just watch Karl jobst’s analysis, it is infinitely better

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Dynamic
Dynamic

What about this https://youtu.be/XuU7prBDY94

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what happened
what happened

Us: so did he cheat? Matpat: here are some facts Us: so..? Matpat: idk but imma keep talking :D

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Orville Java
Orville Java

vid: dream cheated matpat: flip a coin 1000 times so we can see the problem here

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enjoying 365 day's
enjoying 365 day's

🇮🇳Watching on the India🇮🇳

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艾丽马
艾丽马

i’m here because of the trending tab haha

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RSG
RSG

He didn't give an answer because Dream is his friend. It's not that hard to figure out that Dream was blatantly cheating.

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Pantheon
Pantheon

9:55 LOL its #2 on trending

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Bruce Wayne
Bruce Wayne

Racketeering not trending

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im just guy
im just guy

Us:did dream cheat Matpat:find out next time on dragon ball z

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Lord Broccoli
Lord Broccoli

The man collabed with him for a video fairly recently; did we really expect him to say anything super incriminating in this one?

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solax
solax

i teabagged a drowned that hasn't despawned in a very long time went to the nether and got pearls on my 3rd gold ingot

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MellamoSteve
MellamoSteve

8:08 Yes, gacha players would kill for SSRs rate up that high

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Jade Salveson
Jade Salveson

Hi I'm a fan

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Mike Afton
Mike Afton

You put /spawn ender_perl 8 but ther were 9 (p.s. I can't spell )

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Daniel gai
Daniel gai

7 and 10

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Robert andrei Bagasbas
Robert andrei Bagasbas

My sanity is losing because of "these"

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BustaBacker
BustaBacker

MatPat, there is a new SUPERHOT game.. it’s not over..

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Fluted Scissors
Fluted Scissors

He did

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Liam Hutfles
Liam Hutfles

Call this mediocre because it's #2 on trending

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Emi Harith
Emi Harith

gosh, i didn't think there would be anything more controversial and toxic than kpop stans. this comment section changed my mind

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Eradud
Eradud

Look at all these people commenting completely missing the point

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ROIDERZ ABDOMINESS
ROIDERZ ABDOMINESS

I did I faked it

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Shrestha Pandey
Shrestha Pandey

Um who are u

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black death velociraptor
black death velociraptor

You should do a theory about fetch or something I dont know

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Maybe Its not Alex
Maybe Its not Alex

Came back to see if it would end up in trending, TF

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Deep Patel
Deep Patel

Can we get dream in the comment section

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Grim Flarez
Grim Flarez

*sigh*...

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hmmm
hmmm

What if they speedrun in just one seed?

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Hi
Hi

That already exist and requires a lot more rng

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Yurem Santillan
Yurem Santillan

Can you please make a video about brawl stars

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DangerDarkrai22
DangerDarkrai22

Hey matpat Ive been diving back into your old vids for nostalgia and I realised in your theory with The Jwittz about Pokémon are humans I noticed a wee tune you played at the skit you did and noticed it was from Rayman I loved these games when I was a kid would there be a theory you could do for Rayman (maybe something like why does Rayman have a floating abdomen and arms and legs?)

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That one Microwave
That one Microwave

Nobody mr beast buying everything in the store in the back ground

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Kaylee Dill
Kaylee Dill

“Watch this episode is gonna wind up on the YouTube trending tab” Me: cHeAtEr!!

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Levi McNabb
Levi McNabb

Number 2 on tending

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Monique Pozzi
Monique Pozzi

I need boyfriend 🙊👊🏽

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archofthedark
archofthedark

Yeah, this video wasn't worth it. You should have taken the L.

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Joey Dii
Joey Dii

its number one on the Youtube trending tab...

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Train_Time
Train_Time

Mat: We should have minecraft speedruns where multiple players compete in the same world Manhunt: “Am I a joke to you?”

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ItzMalo
ItzMalo

"Those who cannot acknowledge themselves, will eventually fail." - Itachi Uchiha 😞

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Coby McIntosh
Coby McIntosh

I think you are just jealous of dreams skills

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zerg113
zerg113

Dream atmitted cheating also, who cares.

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Hi
Hi

@what happened so I am assuming that your saying the bit where the astrophysicist say that the only reasonable thing is to assume that he cheated, that not dream saying he cheated that’s the astrophysicist saying he cheated.

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what happened
what happened

@Hi at the very end of the astrophysicist's report

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Hi
Hi

Where

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Cristian Martinez
Cristian Martinez

I like the Idea of a tournament. Maybe Dream can even start a series like that. Maybe against all of his friends to see who is the fastest.

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Prince Darwin
Prince Darwin

Thank you comments for letting me know this was a waste of time before i watched. Now i dont have to watch it. Ballance is restored

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Magma Hot Designs
Magma Hot Designs

Wow! This channel has been going downhill real fast for a while BUT THIS is the tipping point for me. MatPat has finally hit the point of no return of shitty, clickbaity nonsense which he knows nothing about.

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Joshua Zhao
Joshua Zhao

Bro I legit was confused when I watched the video and there was no answer like I thought I missed something.

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Daniel Valentin
Daniel Valentin

I’m not a math expert, but dream had no reason to cheat, he’s done tons of runs and there was GOING to be a sus run at some point, for anyone doing the run. So I believe dream

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Hi
Hi

It was 6 runs not one

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Anupam Chaudhari
Anupam Chaudhari

So did he cheated or not.

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Slim Badger
Slim Badger

MFW I found this on my trending tab...

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MrDNR
MrDNR

I thought this drama was ended already

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Don Gordo
Don Gordo

https://youtu.be/n-LH-CpOWzg

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Zachry Diehl
Zachry Diehl

Isn't this the guy that plagiarized a legal eagle episode? Same thing here? Just wait until everyone else has made their video, then just do that? Edit: Skip to 4:45 if you dont want to listen to 4 minutes and 45 seconds of this guy talking about himself.

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SterWasWeird
SterWasWeird

Everyone: WhAt’S ThE AnSWeR?!?11 *Me knowing this was the answer:* B)

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deathk1ller100
deathk1ller100

God you’re a pathetic YouTube channel I missed the old game theory channel not this hungry deprived clickbait for viral stuff if a garbage can went viral you’d made a video on it and it’s just sad

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Veron Alejandre Parayno
Veron Alejandre Parayno

11:38 and Why is Jake Peralta There?

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Kirbo Playz
Kirbo Playz

I can already hear the dream stans screaming

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The Doge Regular
The Doge Regular

did dream cheat? matpat: he's pretty popular so lemme just suggest speedrun races which are already popular and completely ignore the title of the video

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Ghostlyboy Playz
Ghostlyboy Playz

The thing that seems suspicious to me is that out of all people who could have ended up in this situation, Dream, a professional, Minecraft speed runner did.

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Kittycat Kimmy
Kittycat Kimmy

Hahah he is #2trending he predicted that XD

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Johnny Poprac
Johnny Poprac

You didn't even give an answer over fear of angering fanbases. What is the point of this video other than to get clicks by name-dropping Dream? Either he cheated or he didn't, but dancing around the subject and then questioning Minecraft speedrunning in general isn't getting anyone anywhere. Be better

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Johnny Poprac
Johnny Poprac

@Noah The channel name, Game Theory, implies that each video would give an actually theory around what is going on. In the video he gives the statistics, but at the end he avoids a final theory on whether or not Dream cheated. He just says that no one really knows. He never truly analyzes what either side is saying and he never really answers the question in the title. There was no final theory or verdict, therefore, he "danced" around the answer. A theory doesn't have to be right, but it should have a complete conclusion one way or another. Saying "who knows really" isn't an answer, it's a cop out.

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Noah
Noah

He didn't dance around the answer. The only person who knows the absolute answer is Dream, and he isn't Dream. You are the one who needs to be better, not The Game Theorists.

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Uncle
Uncle

I think a great way to prove that your speed running on live stream without a custom seed is to have the first super chat pick 3 numbers for the seed

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Hi
Hi

Then it would be considered a set seed

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Sisi • 27 years ago
Sisi • 27 years ago

“watch this video is gonna end up on the youtube trending tab” *#1 ON TRENDING*

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J is Empty
J is Empty

It took you 5 minutes to get to the point and by the end of the video you didn’t even give a point

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Kellan Ogle
Kellan Ogle

Flipping the coin 100 times. You get more opportunities to get heads.

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Charlie Walker
Charlie Walker

Yep you did get on the trending tab

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Connor Dauzat
Connor Dauzat

i love matpat. BUT that's not the Jedi way so I must become sith.

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Lord Of Puns
Lord Of Puns

There were several issues to this video, first I will address MatPats final response, second I will address whether he cheated (he probably did). For his MatPats response to rng, it doesn’t matter, if he cheated to have better luck, he cheated. He made money off streams using a potentially hacked game, these streams made money and could have taken money away from people streaming legitimately, giving him an unfair advantage. This debate shouldn’t be philosophical, if you have a problem, discuss it, don’t use it as an excuse to cheat. For if he cheated, I would say he did. Generally, as someone learning college statistics, I think he overcomplicated it. Essentially, there were 2 variables that had unusually high luck, blaze rods and elder pearl trades. The data is collected from several runs. If you have a graphing calculator, you can do the math simply. Essentially, when doing the math with 2 binomial cdf functions combined, Dream got luck so high that there was only a 1 in 70 sextillion chance of getting luck that good or better over all of his runs. In statistics, anything higher than 2 standard deviations or having a 5% chance or less is highly unusual and if this occurs, you reject the null hypothesis. In this case, the null hypothesis is that Dream is not cheating. Overall, due to the probabilities, I would say dream is cheating One important thing to know about his cheating was that he didn’t cheat his gameplay, he cheated the probabilities. This means he didn’t cheat to get good runs, he cheated to get good runs faster. I understand why MatPat wasn’t so straight with his conclusion, Dream is probably and friend/acquaintance and he felt he couldn’t snub him, overall, the evidence in my opinion is strong enough to say Dream cheated. Also, one confusion that seems to be happening is the 1 in 100 million number, that is the probability anyone gets luck as good as him, just a generous number that at best says that this aphid a .000001% chance of happening to anyone, still enough to say someone is probably cheating.

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Noah
Noah

"I think he overcomplicated it" No... just no. Adding in points that are valid to the statistics is not overcomplicating it. Leaving out those points under-complicates it. "In statistics, anything higher than 2 standard deviations or having a 5% chance or less is highly unusual and if this occurs, you reject the null hypothesis." I'm sorry, but that's an extremely naive viewpoint.

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BeanZ :P
BeanZ :P

I caught that Arbiter you snuck in there. 17:45

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Audemar.
Audemar.

Milking views ic

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Cool boi 69
Cool boi 69

lol he got #1 on trending.

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jacktrebel87
jacktrebel87

Literally found this video on the trending tab! LOL

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Silent as a mouse, I am inside your house.
Silent as a mouse, I am inside your house.

HOLY! This got number one on trending!

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Marco Polo
Marco Polo

That was the most pretentious intro I’ve ever seen

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atoth62
atoth62

Is Mario mental? He brings up Mario going after Donkey Kong, but, according to a different video of MatPat's, that was Jumpman, a completely different character from Mario. https://youtu.be/alcxiiN6xkU?t=705

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Mr. DeSomber
Mr. DeSomber

Just read that you don't really answer the question so I'm not gonna bother with this video.

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bah1605
bah1605

If it isnt about fnaf Mat Pat. It’s not a good video

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Pk Kevin67
Pk Kevin67

In a year where my teachers barely teach, but assign enough work to take up a weekend, I can confidently say GT videos have helped me get my curiosity back

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emerald_comic
emerald_comic

i like game thoery but wow this was a fantastic waste of my time.

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TristanDFU
TristanDFU

You called it being on trending

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fabian ojeda
fabian ojeda

Yes or No

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Hi
Hi

There is no way to tell unless dreams says that he cheated

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Chukwu
Chukwu

This was filmed in 2019 nobody is wearing a mask..

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Veron Alejandre Parayno
Veron Alejandre Parayno

POV:You looked up the start of game theory After The video

2 saat əvvəl

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